# Risk of ruin calculator

The purpose of this calculator is to estimate the probability of ruin, given a positive expected value, standard deviation, bankroll, and infinite play. The calculator assumes the player flat betting and the odds of every trial are the same.

The risk of ruin calculator is an advanced tool to evaluate a trading systems probability of loss.

U the maximum number of risks that can be taken before the trader reaches their threshold for ruin. Here is another formula by perry kaufman riskofruin ((1 edge)(1 edge)) capitalunits.

The risk of ruin (ror) is a statistical model which tells you the chances you will lose all of your account based upon your winloss and how much of your capital you put at risk per trade. To understand why the risk of ruin is a number that is absolutely critical for a trader to know to know, check out this article where i talk about the history of the risk of ruin model and the mathematics behind it in detail.

Ruin is usually defined as a fixed capital level, representing a large percentage loss on initial capital. For example, a risk of ruin at 45 is the probability that your initial capital falls to 55 of what you started with. As the equity grows, the risk of hitting that ruin threshold decreases.

here are two formulas for calculating risk or ruin probabilities. U the maximum number of risks that can be taken before the trader reaches their threshold for ruin. Here is another formula by perry kaufman riskofruin ((1 edge)(1 edge)) capitalunits.

Risk of ruin and drawdown calculator just fill in the stats of the trading system, the test length and the level of drawdownruin to be tested and hit the calculate button. Click on how to interpret the results for more information.

The risk of ruin formula published by perry kaufman and discussed here and here uses the probability of a win to calculate the risk of ruin riskofruin ((1 edge)(1 edge)) capitalunits.

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